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5.5. Application of Project financing scheme

The project’s ingredients seem to suit a project financing scheme in principle but he project set up is reviewed with respect to the requirements of risk control and risk sharing of a project financing scheme.

Risk Project
Political/ Country risk investment environment and the political and legal frame work is stable and supportive
Force majeure Insurance is possible
Financial risk Competitive production is reasonable to assume and so is sufficient Cash flow for debt service; Price volatility has to be encountered
Completion risk a number of capable contractors have been identified Construction Companies and skilled workforce are not unknown in Latin America, as large industrial projects have been built in Chile, Brazil, Venezuela and Argentina.
Technology risk proven many times a number of capable technology providers have been identified
Operating risk Needs only few foreign experts for the first years of operation. Local people to be trained. has been done multiple times
Supply risk availability of natural gas supply as feedstock is depending solely on the tapped reserve and can not be substituted
Off take risk reasonably expected to grow for the long term future on the basis of the mega trend growth of population

Table 16: Project set up meets requirements of risk control and risk sharing for project financing

Being a risk bearing business failure potential, it might be required to obtain several independent expert opinions on the availability of sufficient quantity of natural gas.

Applying Moody’s criteria for rating project finance schemes (though these criteria are for power generation it shall as be used reference also in the fertilizer case) the key factors for a successful project finance scheme can be answered promising:

Predictability of Cash Flows
Quality & Diversity of Cash Flows
Price volatility may be further reviewed
Competitiveness Probable
Technical and Operating Track
Record and Vendor Profile
Superb technical experience available, proven, mature technology
Key Financial Metrics Requires further evaluation

Table 17: Applying Moody's rating criteria to the project